**Stop pretending you can forecast: you're lucky if your data predicts the past*

**Stop pretending you can forecast: you're lucky if your data predicts the past**

> Data can only predict the past. Our stock forecaster leans into that - measure the past honestly (including the days the shelf was empty), then say how wrong you might be. Engineering notes Stop pretending you can forecast. You&\#039;re lucky if your data can predict the past. 31 August 2026 · \#inventory · \#forecasting · \#procurement · \#hydrators TL;DR No forecaster predicts the future; it predicts the past continuing...

**来源信息**
- **来源**：Hacker News：AI 热帖
- **分类**：ai-products
- **发布时间**：2026-09-01 20:01（北京时间）
- **原文**：[打开原文](https://aiku.io/blog/stop-pretending-you-are-forecasting)