**Uncertainty-Aware End-to-End AI Weather Forecasting: Disentangling Observation

**Uncertainty-Aware End-to-End AI Weather Forecasting: Disentangling Observation and Model Contributions**

> End-to-end weather forecasting systems produce skillful global gridded and station forecasts directly from raw Earth observations, replacing the numerical weather prediction pipeline, including data assimilation, at a fraction of its cost. These systems are deterministic and issue no uncertainty. Here we render the Aardvark Weather model probabilistic by attaching one stochastic mechanism to each component: learned,...

**来源信息**
- **来源**：HuggingFace Daily Papers（社区热门论文）
- **分类**：ai-models
- **发布时间**：2026-09-01 08:00（北京时间）
- **原文**：[打开原文](https://huggingface.co/papers/2608.30795)